Rumors of a gov’t bond downgrade hit after hours

As you can see, the “in the know” knew well ahead of time and that put the kabash on the bond rally.  Time will tell whether bonds will ignore the agencies and just keep going or if today will mark a generational top in gov’t bonds.  This could end up as the short of our lifetimes as long as we don’t turn into japan.

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Just look at the incredible move up and down in cotton

This is how trend traders make their money.  They don’t care what the asset is nor whether it moves up or down.  Just buy the break or short the break down and try to stay in for the ride.  Millions are made playing these sorts of moves.  I wish I had been playing here instead of other areas.  Not to worry, you can always improve and there will always be the next trend to follow.

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The Dollar has been slamed, everyone hates it, I’m back in for a counter trend trade $dx_f $uup

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Certainly a weekly gold breakout, initial target now around 1,700+


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Back in Silver and favorite miners hoping this is it, what a bad 6 months for miners

Back in CDE, HL, SLW and PAAS.  Got some of the same prices as last October but Silver is waaay higher.  The silver miners have held the 200 day ave.  Keep those fingers crossed.  Add Silver 1 oz coins monthly.  Bought a 24% position in DGP for some juiced up gold exposure also this morning.

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The us buck is very close to breaking the 1 year down trend yet again, will it stick?

Every time they bang on the line, it weakens.  The dollar has been going down for many years and the downtrend will be very tough to break.  It was at 120 in July 2001, look at it now at 76, off 37% in 10 years.  If it is really on the way up, that is bad for just about everything except bonds.  Watch, wait and be ready to trade em heavy, use leverage if you want to juice your return.  Long DX right here.

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if you have not lost your a** over the last 5 weeks you can afford to trade for a bounce play long NQ

How much, 10-50 points? who knows at this point.  Seems like it was too easy on the short side with 5 down weeks in a row (wish I would have played it better but no one is perfect).

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